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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+8.59vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+3.84vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.61+2.46vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.76+4.51vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+3.49vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+3.08vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.76+1.67vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+1.73vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.36+1.36vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.52-0.01vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.68-1.80vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.53-2.02vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.29-2.50vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-3.79vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.50-5.23vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.50-6.14vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.35-2.62vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.08-6.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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5.84Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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5.46College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
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8.51Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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9.08Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.67Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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9.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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10.36University of Hawaii3.360.0%1st Place
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9.99Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.2Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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9.98Yale University3.530.0%1st Place
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10.5Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.0%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Naval Academy3.500.0%1st Place
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9.86Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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14.38University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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11.37Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Patten | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Allison Blecher | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| Megan Magill | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Lihan | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Catherine Swanson | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Christina Pryne | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Emily Maxwell | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Christina Baker | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 37.6% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.