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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.34+5.13vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.45+3.60vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.25+3.05vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.40+1.94vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+5.09vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.37+0.86vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.99+0.82vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-0.36vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.05+1.48vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.06+3.59vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.07+1.01vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.69-0.26vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.48-3.92vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.02-7.52vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.27-5.30vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.06-5.63vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.20-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Dartmouth College2.349.9%1st Place
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5.6Harvard University2.4512.8%1st Place
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6.05Yale University2.2510.0%1st Place
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5.94Roger Williams University2.4010.8%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.733.5%1st Place
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6.86Brown University2.378.1%1st Place
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7.82Brown University1.996.6%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.2%1st Place
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10.48University of Rhode Island1.053.5%1st Place
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13.59Connecticut College0.061.6%1st Place
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12.01Boston University1.072.2%1st Place
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11.74Northeastern University0.691.8%1st Place
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9.08Bowdoin College1.484.0%1st Place
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6.48Boston College2.028.9%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University1.274.3%1st Place
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10.37University of Vermont1.063.5%1st Place
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13.42Salve Regina University0.201.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Decker | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robby Meek | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Olin Guck | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 4.6% |
| Rory Murray | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 32.0% |
| Porter Bell | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 13.2% |
| Gavin Hudson | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Jack Redmond | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 4.4% |
| Jack Schneider | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.