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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+6.41vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.71+3.27vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.00+4.69vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.26+2.64vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+1.27vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.85+0.22vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.57-1.25vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.52-1.81vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.54-0.13vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania-0.50+2.17vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.93-2.73vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.05-0.50vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.18-5.15vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.20-2.53vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Northeastern University1.186.8%1st Place
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5.27Dartmouth College1.7113.2%1st Place
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7.69Stanford University1.005.5%1st Place
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6.64College of Charleston1.268.5%1st Place
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6.27Harvard University2.1010.9%1st Place
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6.22Brown University1.858.8%1st Place
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5.75Yale University1.5710.7%1st Place
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6.19Old Dominion University1.5210.3%1st Place
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8.87Tufts University0.544.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Pennsylvania-0.501.2%1st Place
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8.27George Washington University0.935.6%1st Place
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11.5University of Vermont-0.051.3%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Naval Academy1.186.5%1st Place
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11.47University of Rhode Island-0.202.3%1st Place
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8.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.824.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lucia Loosbrock | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
bella casaretto | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Ava Cornell | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
Emily Alfortish | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
Cordelia Burn | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Laura Hamilton | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Audrey Foley | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Marina Conde | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
Maisie MacGillivray | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
Esme Gonzalez | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 18.8% | 34.2% |
Avery Canavan | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
Ella Towner | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 18.0% | 24.5% |
Ava Farley | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
Emaline Ouellette | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 19.5% | 23.2% |
Karya Basaraner | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.