← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.72+5.16vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College2.72+8.16vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University3.25+5.15vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University3.23+4.29vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.01+3.89vs Predicted
-
6Boston College4.01-0.51vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.53+0.03vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+1.87vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.01+0.32vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.42-2.69vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College2.14+1.35vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.34-0.42vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College3.18-4.47vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-7.19vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.24-6.87vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-2.52vs Predicted
-
17Harvard University2.42-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.16Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
10.16Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
-
8.15Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
-
8.29Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.89Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
-
5.49Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
7.03Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
9.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
-
9.32College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
-
7.31Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
12.35SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
-
11.58Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
8.53Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
-
6.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
8.13Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
13.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
-
11.44Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Conner Harding | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Christophe Killian | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| John Lawless | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 20.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Vincent Storino | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 30.5% |
| Jackson Wagner | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.