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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.72+9.07vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.23+6.15vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.42+8.33vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+2.43vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01+0.29vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.14+6.61vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.18+1.43vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.25+0.03vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.53-1.74vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.36vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.34+0.82vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+0.43vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-2.79vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-6.38vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.01-5.84vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.24-7.67vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.01-7.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.07Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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8.15Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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11.33Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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6.43Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.29Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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12.61SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.03Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.26Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.82Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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12.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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10.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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7.62Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.16College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.21Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Conner Harding | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 21.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 15.7% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 20.9% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.