← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.72+5.17vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College3.18+6.27vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.01+6.03vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University3.25+4.19vs Predicted
-
5Boston College4.01+0.24vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.42+1.55vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College2.14+5.30vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.01+0.89vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.42+2.51vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University3.23-1.87vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-0.78vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-5.24vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College3.53-5.86vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College2.72-3.65vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University2.34-3.40vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University3.24-7.79vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.17Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
8.27Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
-
9.03College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
-
8.19Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
-
5.24Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
7.55Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
12.3SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
-
8.89Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
11.51Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
-
8.13Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
10.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
-
6.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
7.14Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
10.35Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
-
11.6Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
8.21Tufts University3.240.0%1st Place
-
13.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Christophe Killian | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.0% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| John Lawless | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 15.9% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.5% |
| Conner Harding | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 5.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 14.9% |
| Cameron Holley | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Vincent Storino | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 16.2% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.