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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+5.17vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+6.93vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+2.28vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.01+5.19vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.18+3.21vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.23+2.37vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.25+1.13vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-1.39vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-1.37vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.42+1.28vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.72-0.66vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.14+0.29vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+0.45vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.53-6.87vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.24-6.83vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.34-4.29vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.93Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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5.28Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.19College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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8.21Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.37Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.13Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.28Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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10.34Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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12.29SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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13.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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7.13Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.71Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Christophe Killian | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Conner Harding | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
| John Lawless | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 19.2% |
| Vincent Storino | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 17.1% | 31.6% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 12.2% |
| Kyle Burgess | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.