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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.21vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+6.94vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+4.43vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.24+4.22vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.72+1.18vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.01+3.26vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-0.29vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.72+1.94vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.42+2.49vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.23-1.88vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-2.74vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-1.96vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.34-1.26vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.53vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.18-6.64vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-2.58vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.53-9.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.94Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.18Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.26College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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6.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.94Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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11.49Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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8.12Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.26Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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11.74Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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12.47SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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8.36Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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13.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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7.2Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 15.0% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 11.4% |
| Conner Harding | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 14.4% |
| John Lawless | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 20.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| Vincent Storino | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 29.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.