← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.42+6.14vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.01+6.69vs Predicted
-
3Boston College4.01+2.17vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University3.25+4.02vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+1.59vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College3.53+0.92vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.23+1.08vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+1.66vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.01-0.26vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Maritime College2.14+1.96vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.72-4.76vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-0.11vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College3.18-4.92vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College2.72-4.26vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.24-6.97vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University2.42-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.14Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.69Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
5.17Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
8.02Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
-
6.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
6.92Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
8.08Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
-
8.74College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
-
11.96SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
-
6.24Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
11.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
-
8.08Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
-
9.74Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
-
8.03Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
11.04Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.4% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Conner Harding | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% |
| John Lawless | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 23.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 14.7% | 27.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.