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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.38vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+4.17vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+2.19vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.42+7.09vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.25+2.89vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.01+2.80vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.23+1.06vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.72+1.69vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.53-2.17vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18-1.78vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.01-2.20vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-4.72vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-3.30vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.14-2.23vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.24-6.94vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.17Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.19Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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11.09Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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7.89Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.8Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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8.06Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.69Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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6.83Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.22Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.8College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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7.28Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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11.77SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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12.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 9.3% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Erika Reineke | 15.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 17.2% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Conner Harding | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% |
| Christophe Killian | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| John Lawless | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 23.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.