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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.85+5.15vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+4.28vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.05+8.55vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.71+1.26vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.54+3.62vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.57-0.30vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82+1.37vs Predicted
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8Stanford University1.00-0.31vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-1.56vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.93-1.68vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.26-4.33vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.18-4.08vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania-0.50-0.74vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.20-2.51vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.52-8.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Brown University1.8510.3%1st Place
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6.28Harvard University2.109.6%1st Place
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11.55University of Vermont-0.052.0%1st Place
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5.26Dartmouth College1.7112.9%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University0.544.7%1st Place
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5.7Yale University1.5711.0%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.825.7%1st Place
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7.69Stanford University1.006.0%1st Place
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7.44Northeastern University1.185.9%1st Place
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8.32George Washington University0.935.3%1st Place
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6.67College of Charleston1.269.3%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Naval Academy1.184.8%1st Place
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12.26University of Pennsylvania-0.501.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Rhode Island-0.201.6%1st Place
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6.28Old Dominion University1.529.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Ella Towner | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 20.5% | 23.0% |
| bella casaretto | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Audrey Foley | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Karya Basaraner | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Ava Cornell | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Emily Alfortish | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Ava Farley | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 18.7% | 36.2% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 18.9% | 24.3% |
| Marina Conde | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.