← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+5.35vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University2.87+7.05vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.74+2.94vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College2.91+5.02vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.50+1.61vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+0.94vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.53-0.34vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.93+0.71vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.53+1.56vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University2.92-1.16vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida1.42+2.84vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy2.68-2.18vs Predicted
-
13College of Charleston3.20-4.96vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.05-1.87vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.48-8.15vs Predicted
-
16William and Mary0.31-0.07vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University3.28-9.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
-
9.05Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
-
5.94Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
9.02Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
-
6.61Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
-
6.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
-
6.66Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
-
8.71University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
-
10.56Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
-
8.84Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
-
13.84University of South Florida1.420.0%1st Place
-
9.82U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
-
8.04College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
12.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.050.0%1st Place
-
6.85Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
15.93William and Mary0.310.0%1st Place
-
7.7Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Patten | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Emily Maxwell | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Adler | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Casey Bowles-Jenner | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 30.6% | 20.4% |
| Sara Burke | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 1.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Jaimie Chicoine | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 5.9% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Meghan Tamminen | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 6.0% | 14.9% | 67.3% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.