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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.01+7.65vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.25+5.80vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+6.70vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+4.93vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01+0.27vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.23+2.11vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.18+1.26vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-1.58vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.42+1.93vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-2.66vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.14+0.77vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.72-2.15vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.53-6.17vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.72-7.96vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.24-6.92vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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7.8Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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8.93Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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5.27Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.26Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.93Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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7.34Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.77SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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9.85Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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6.83Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.04Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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12.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe Killian | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Conner Harding | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Alexander Stewart | 10.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 15.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| John Lawless | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 24.4% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 11.2% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.