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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.18+6.96vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.47vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+8.91vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.31vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.25+2.94vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.72+3.97vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.53-0.03vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.42+2.77vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.72-2.81vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.24-1.98vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.01-2.18vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.14-0.18vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.42-5.76vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.01-5.31vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-5.14vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.23-7.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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5.31Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.94Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.97Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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6.97Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.77Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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6.19Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.82Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.82SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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7.24Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.69College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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9.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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8.08Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGuire | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 24.7% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 13.8% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
| John Lawless | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 25.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Christophe Killian | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 6.0% |
| Conner Harding | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.