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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.54+4.44vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+1.05vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.65+5.02vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.37+2.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.50+0.53vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.43-0.09vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.49-1.30vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.62-0.03vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.15+0.61vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.16-5.98vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook0.79-0.53vs Predicted
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12Colgate University-0.40+1.47vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-1.01+0.71vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University0.55-3.86vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-0.30-2.82vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo-0.79-2.62vs Predicted
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18Penn State University-0.78-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.3%1st Place
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8.02Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.08Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.53U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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5.91Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.7George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.97Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.61Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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4.02Fordham University3.160.2%1st Place
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10.47SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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13.47Colgate University-0.400.0%1st Place
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14.71Webb Institute-1.010.0%1st Place
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11.14Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.18University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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14.38University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
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14.31Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Kelter | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 25.5% | 22.4% | 18.6% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Roberto Stevens | 16.9% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 14.5% | 12.0% |
| Muriel Weathers | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 23.8% | 30.9% |
| Zachary Warner | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 8.9% |
| Jessica Abriss | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 18.2% | 19.6% | 23.1% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.