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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University1.65+6.81vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.54+3.45vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.12vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.43+1.92vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.49+0.50vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.37+0.11vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.50-1.39vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.16-4.01vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.15+0.61vs Predicted
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10Queen's University1.62-1.91vs Predicted
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11Colgate University-0.40+2.55vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.55-1.93vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-0.30-0.80vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook0.79-4.44vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute-1.01-1.30vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo-0.79-2.64vs Predicted
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18Penn State University-0.78-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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5.45Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.3%1st Place
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5.92Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.5George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.11Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.61U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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3.99Fordham University3.160.2%1st Place
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9.61Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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8.09Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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13.55Colgate University-0.400.0%1st Place
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11.07Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.2University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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10.56SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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14.7Webb Institute-1.010.0%1st Place
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14.36University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
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14.34Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DeVita | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 26.2% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 7.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 17.2% | 18.7% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Thompson | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 20.1% | 11.5% |
| Zachary Warner | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 10.8% |
| James Gilmore III | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Muriel Weathers | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 32.0% |
| Jessica Abriss | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 21.2% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.