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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University1.65+6.82vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.50+3.54vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.37+2.92vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.43+1.88vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.55+5.98vs Predicted
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6Colgate University-0.40+7.60vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-3.86vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.54-2.57vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.49-3.19vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo-0.79+4.28vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-0.30+2.24vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.16-7.96vs Predicted
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13Queen's University1.62-4.77vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook0.79-3.47vs Predicted
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15Villanova University1.15-5.57vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute-1.01-2.22vs Predicted
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18Penn State University-0.78-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.54U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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5.92Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.88Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.98Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.6Colgate University-0.400.0%1st Place
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3.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.3%1st Place
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5.43Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.81George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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14.28University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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4.04Fordham University3.160.2%1st Place
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8.23Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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10.53SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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9.43Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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14.78Webb Institute-1.010.0%1st Place
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14.35Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DeVita | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 9.3% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 18.7% | 17.0% | 11.3% |
| Charles Miller | 25.3% | 19.7% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Abriss | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 19.4% | 21.3% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 9.9% |
| Roberto Stevens | 17.7% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| James Gilmore III | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| David Alldian | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Muriel Weathers | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 19.7% | 31.9% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 19.6% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.