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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.49+4.57vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.16+1.98vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.13vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.62+4.17vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.37+0.83vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.15+3.59vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.54-1.43vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.50-3.49vs Predicted
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10Colgate University-0.40+3.60vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.65-3.08vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.43-6.09vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.57vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University0.55-2.89vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-0.30-1.69vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute-1.01-1.33vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-0.78-2.65vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo-0.79-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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3.98Fordham University3.160.2%1st Place
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3.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.2%1st Place
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8.17Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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5.83Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.59Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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5.57Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.51U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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13.6Colgate University-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.92Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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5.91Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.43SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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11.11Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.31University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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14.67Webb Institute-1.010.0%1st Place
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14.35Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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14.35University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Poon Tip | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 16.5% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 23.9% | 22.5% | 18.9% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Connor Kelter | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 10.9% |
| Adam DeVita | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Balk | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Warner | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 10.2% |
| Muriel Weathers | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 32.2% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 19.2% | 21.7% |
| Jessica Abriss | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.