← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University3.16+2.82vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.54+3.35vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.49+2.56vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.43+1.81vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.37+0.88vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.50-0.41vs Predicted
-
7Queen's University1.62+0.84vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Stony Brook0.79+1.94vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-5.89vs Predicted
-
10Columbia University1.65-2.22vs Predicted
-
11Villanova University1.15-1.96vs Predicted
-
12University of Delaware-0.30+0.54vs Predicted
-
13Colgate University-0.40-0.25vs Predicted
-
15Penn State University-0.78-1.57vs Predicted
-
16Webb Institute-1.01-2.02vs Predicted
-
17University of Buffalo-0.79-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.82Fordham University3.160.2%1st Place
-
5.35Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
-
5.56George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
-
5.81Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
-
5.88Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
-
5.59U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
-
7.84Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
-
9.94SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
-
3.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.3%1st Place
-
7.78Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
-
9.04Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
-
12.54University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
-
12.75Colgate University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
13.43Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
-
13.98Webb Institute-1.010.0%1st Place
-
13.56University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Stevens | 18.7% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 6.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Charles Miller | 28.1% | 20.2% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| David Alldian | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 10.5% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 11.6% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 19.7% | 18.7% | 22.3% |
| Muriel Weathers | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 23.0% | 32.4% |
| Jessica Abriss | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 21.7% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.