← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Indiana University1.19+1.78vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin0.70+1.47vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University0.16+0.84vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University-0.49+0.21vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan-1.34+1.52vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin0.36-2.48vs Predicted
-
7Marquette University-0.63-1.50vs Predicted
-
8Michigan Technological University-1.08-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.78Indiana University1.1927.6%1st Place
-
3.47University of Wisconsin0.7017.4%1st Place
-
3.84Northwestern University0.1614.5%1st Place
-
4.21Purdue University-0.4911.8%1st Place
-
6.52University of Michigan-1.342.5%1st Place
-
3.52University of Wisconsin0.3617.8%1st Place
-
5.5Marquette University-0.634.6%1st Place
-
6.15Michigan Technological University-1.083.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 27.6% | 23.0% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 17.4% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Grace Bray | 14.5% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 4.5% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 22.1% | 43.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 17.8% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Eva Paschke | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 21.2% | 17.6% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 27.4% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.