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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.16+2.89vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.54+3.36vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.49+2.58vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-0.90vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.43+0.79vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.37+0.04vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.79+3.18vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.50-2.55vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.15+0.16vs Predicted
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10Queen's University1.62-2.00vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.65-3.18vs Predicted
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12Colgate University-0.40+0.95vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-0.78+0.68vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-0.30-1.28vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute-0.15-2.50vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo-0.79-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Fordham University3.160.2%1st Place
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5.36Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.58George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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3.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.3%1st Place
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5.79Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.04Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.18SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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5.45U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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9.16Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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8.0Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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7.82Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.95Colgate University-0.400.0%1st Place
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13.68Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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12.72University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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12.5Webb Institute-0.150.0%1st Place
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13.79University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Stevens | 18.5% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 10.4% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 26.0% | 22.0% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Thompson | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Adam DeVita | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 18.5% | 17.2% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 21.5% | 28.2% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 13.0% |
| Isaac Wilson | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 18.8% | 16.3% | 10.2% |
| Jessica Abriss | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 20.9% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.