Race 10A

jack-boehringer-52

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Thomas Balk 8.9% 9.1% 10.7% 10.2% 9.8% 12.2% 10.5% 9.0% 8.9% 6.3% 3.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Roberto Stevens 16.9% 18.3% 14.7% 13.4% 10.0% 10.1% 6.4% 5.0% 3.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Kelter 10.1% 8.7% 10.2% 10.9% 11.2% 12.4% 11.7% 9.3% 6.9% 3.7% 3.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
David Alldian 2.1% 2.2% 3.3% 3.9% 3.5% 5.0% 6.3% 7.6% 10.3% 13.0% 14.5% 12.5% 8.0% 6.3% 1.1% 0.4%
Nicholas Gartner 8.0% 8.7% 10.5% 10.7% 13.1% 9.9% 11.2% 10.3% 7.0% 6.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Miller 25.1% 21.2% 16.2% 14.3% 9.2% 6.7% 4.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Thompson 4.0% 4.3% 4.7% 4.9% 6.4% 7.1% 7.7% 10.0% 12.4% 12.8% 11.7% 8.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Derek Poon Tip 9.0% 10.0% 10.1% 11.4% 12.3% 10.1% 9.8% 9.9% 7.3% 5.6% 2.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Andersen 8.4% 8.1% 9.7% 9.2% 11.3% 10.6% 12.2% 9.6% 6.8% 6.5% 4.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam DeVita 4.0% 4.0% 4.2% 5.3% 6.2% 7.0% 8.8% 11.7% 12.9% 12.9% 11.4% 5.7% 4.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Lindsay Burroughs 0.7% 1.0% 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 3.5% 4.2% 6.7% 9.8% 14.2% 17.2% 19.7% 16.2%
James Gilmore III 1.1% 2.2% 2.8% 2.3% 3.0% 3.6% 4.8% 6.8% 8.3% 10.7% 14.9% 14.5% 12.7% 6.9% 3.5% 1.9%
Sarah Culp 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 0.7% 1.4% 2.1% 3.3% 4.3% 9.5% 11.5% 13.8% 22.0% 28.4%
Sean Crandall 0.2% 0.9% 0.5% 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 1.4% 2.4% 3.6% 4.0% 7.7% 12.5% 16.3% 17.6% 16.1% 13.2%
Isaac Wilson 1.1% 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 2.1% 2.3% 3.6% 5.8% 7.5% 13.0% 16.7% 18.1% 15.2% 10.5%
Jessica Abriss 0.0% 0.1% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 1.1% 2.4% 2.9% 4.8% 7.6% 10.2% 17.0% 21.5% 29.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.