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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.14+2.66vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.71+2.59vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.23vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+1.51vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.57+2.37vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.57-0.89vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.35-1.48vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.42-2.73vs Predicted
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9Colgate University0.43+1.50vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.39+0.45vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+1.24vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-1.57+2.98vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.22-1.00vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-1.24+0.40vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.14-3.92vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo-1.24-1.62vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute-0.47-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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4.59Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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3.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.2%1st Place
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5.51Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.37Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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5.11George Washington University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.52Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.27U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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10.5Colgate University0.430.0%1st Place
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10.45Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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12.24SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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14.98Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
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12.0Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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14.4University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
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11.08Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
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14.38University of Buffalo-1.240.0%1st Place
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12.7Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Uhl | 19.1% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 23.3% | 21.2% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rhodes Garner | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryn Clark | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Peter Sander | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 3.8% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 21.5% | 37.2% |
| Bradley Hanford | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 17.0% | 21.6% | 24.0% |
| Antonia Leggett | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Emily Hann | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 21.4% | 22.1% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.