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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.57+3.92vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.14+1.66vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.57+4.49vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.72vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.35+0.35vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.38-0.45vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.71-2.32vs Predicted
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8Colgate University0.43+2.24vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.42-3.54vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+2.14vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.14+0.15vs Predicted
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12Queen's University0.39-1.52vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.22-0.94vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo-1.24+0.45vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute-0.47-2.37vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-1.57-0.99vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-1.24-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92George Washington University2.570.1%1st Place
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3.66Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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7.49Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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3.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.2%1st Place
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5.35Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.55Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.68Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.24Colgate University0.430.0%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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12.14SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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11.15Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
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10.48Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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12.06Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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14.45University of Buffalo-1.240.0%1st Place
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12.63Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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15.01Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
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14.44University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhodes Garner | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 19.6% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 23.4% | 21.3% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 9.9% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 10.9% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryn Clark | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| James Morgan | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sander | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Antonia Leggett | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Victoria Restivo | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Bradley Hanford | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| Emily Hann | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 23.1% | 24.4% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 10.5% | 6.3% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 20.5% | 36.8% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 21.8% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.