← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+2.11vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.38+3.38vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.35+2.46vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.57+1.05vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.25vs Predicted
-
6Villanova University1.57+1.62vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University3.14-3.26vs Predicted
-
8Colgate University0.43+2.30vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University2.71-4.22vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+2.16vs Predicted
-
11Syracuse University-0.22+1.06vs Predicted
-
12Queen's University0.39-1.48vs Predicted
-
13University of Delaware-1.24+1.37vs Predicted
-
14Penn State University-1.57+1.02vs Predicted
-
15University of Buffalo-1.24-0.69vs Predicted
-
16Columbia University0.14-4.84vs Predicted
-
17Webb Institute-0.47-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.3%1st Place
-
5.38Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
-
5.46Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
-
5.05George Washington University2.570.1%1st Place
-
5.25U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
-
7.62Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
-
3.74Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
-
10.3Colgate University0.430.0%1st Place
-
4.78Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
-
12.16SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
-
12.06Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
-
10.52Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
-
14.37University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
-
15.02Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
-
14.31University of Buffalo-1.240.0%1st Place
-
11.16Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
-
12.72Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 26.9% | 20.3% | 16.3% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rhodes Garner | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 17.5% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryn Clark | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Matt Cappetta | 9.9% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sander | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Bradley Hanford | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 3.0% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 22.6% | 24.0% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 20.1% | 38.1% |
| Emily Hann | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 22.9% |
| Antonia Leggett | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.