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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.57+6.31vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.57+2.90vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.14+0.72vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+1.49vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-1.80vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.42-0.54vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.71-2.34vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+4.07vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.35-3.37vs Predicted
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10Colgate University0.43+0.40vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo-1.24+3.38vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-0.22+0.07vs Predicted
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13Queen's University0.39-2.50vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.14-2.80vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-1.57-0.08vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-1.24-1.63vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute-0.47-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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4.9George Washington University2.570.1%1st Place
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3.72Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.49Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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3.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.2%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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4.66Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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12.07SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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5.63Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.4Colgate University0.430.0%1st Place
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14.38University of Buffalo-1.240.0%1st Place
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12.07Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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10.5Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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11.2Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
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14.92Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
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14.37University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
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12.75Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Gillette | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rhodes Garner | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 18.5% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 24.9% | 22.5% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 10.7% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sander | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 3.5% |
| Matthew Schofield | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryn Clark | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Emily Hann | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 19.2% | 27.0% |
| Bradley Hanford | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 2.5% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Antonia Leggett | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 19.0% | 36.9% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 21.6% | 22.3% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.