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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.57+3.95vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.71+2.62vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+2.50vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.57+3.50vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.14-1.32vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.47+4.56vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.39+3.50vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-4.80vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.35-3.34vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.42-4.66vs Predicted
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11Colgate University0.43-0.48vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+0.24vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.22-0.93vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-1.24+0.47vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo-1.24-0.66vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-1.57-0.97vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute-0.47-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95George Washington University2.570.1%1st Place
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4.62Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.5Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.5Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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3.68Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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10.56Columbia University0.470.0%1st Place
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10.5Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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3.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.3%1st Place
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5.66Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.34U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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10.52Colgate University0.430.0%1st Place
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12.24SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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12.07Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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14.47University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
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14.34University of Buffalo-1.240.0%1st Place
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15.03Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
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12.82Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhodes Garner | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 12.3% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 18.9% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Houchois | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Hector Guzman | 25.5% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryn Clark | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Peter Sander | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Bradley Hanford | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 16.6% | 22.2% | 24.7% |
| Emily Hann | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 23.1% | 23.0% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 21.8% | 36.2% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.