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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.68+8.50vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+4.22vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.93+5.79vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+2.78vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.53+1.39vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.42+7.91vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.28+0.52vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.50-1.45vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.74-3.01vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.20-2.36vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.53-0.66vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.87-3.03vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.91-4.04vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.26-2.69vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-8.24vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.05-4.04vs Predicted
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17William and Mary0.67-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.5U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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6.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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6.78Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.39Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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13.91University of South Florida1.420.0%1st Place
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7.52Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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5.99Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.64College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.34Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.97Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.96Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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11.31Stanford University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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11.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.050.0%1st Place
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15.4William and Mary0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Burke | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Patten | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Adler | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Casey Bowles-Jenner | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 26.6% | 23.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 2.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Tally Buckstaff | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 10.7% | 5.3% |
| Mayumi Roller | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jaimie Chicoine | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 6.8% |
| Erin Kwon | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 15.6% | 57.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.