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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.19+1.81vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+1.49vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.36+0.50vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.49+0.30vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.63+0.40vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.16-2.15vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-1.08-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.34-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Indiana University1.1927.0%1st Place
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3.49University of Wisconsin0.7017.8%1st Place
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3.5University of Wisconsin0.3617.6%1st Place
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4.3Purdue University-0.4910.7%1st Place
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5.4Marquette University-0.635.5%1st Place
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3.85Northwestern University0.1614.6%1st Place
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6.22Michigan Technological University-1.083.7%1st Place
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6.43University of Michigan-1.343.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 27.0% | 22.9% | 19.4% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 17.8% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 17.6% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 4.5% |
| Eva Paschke | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 20.1% | 20.8% | 16.2% |
| Grace Bray | 14.6% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 25.4% | 32.5% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 21.6% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.