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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.42+4.29vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+3.44vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.14+0.76vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.57+3.55vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-1.80vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.57-0.88vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.71-2.32vs Predicted
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8Colgate University0.43+2.34vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.39+1.71vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo-1.24+4.36vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.24+3.38vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.35-6.46vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.73vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.47-3.54vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-0.22-2.94vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute-0.47-3.25vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-1.57-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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5.44Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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3.76Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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7.55Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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3.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.2%1st Place
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5.12George Washington University2.570.1%1st Place
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4.68Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.34Colgate University0.430.0%1st Place
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10.71Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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14.36University of Buffalo-1.240.0%1st Place
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14.38University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
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5.54Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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12.27SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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10.46Columbia University0.470.0%1st Place
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12.06Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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12.75Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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15.1Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morgan | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 16.9% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 24.6% | 21.4% | 18.0% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rhodes Garner | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 10.8% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryn Clark | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Victoria Restivo | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Emily Hann | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 23.5% | 21.4% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 25.2% |
| Matthew Schofield | 8.7% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sander | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 8.7% | 4.4% |
| Nicholas Houchois | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Hanford | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 3.4% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 6.2% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 21.4% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.