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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.57+3.88vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.21vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.57+4.46vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.35+1.55vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.14-1.26vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.38-0.52vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.47+3.01vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.42-2.75vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.71-4.36vs Predicted
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10Colgate University0.43+0.16vs Predicted
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11Queen's University0.39-0.86vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.29vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-1.24+0.66vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-0.47-1.91vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-1.57-0.74vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo-1.24-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88George Washington University2.570.1%1st Place
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3.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.3%1st Place
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7.46Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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5.55Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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3.74Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.48Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.01Columbia University0.470.0%1st Place
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5.25U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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4.64Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.16Colgate University0.430.0%1st Place
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10.14Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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11.71SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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13.66University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
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12.09Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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14.26Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
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13.77University of Buffalo-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhodes Garner | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 26.0% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 17.9% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Houchois | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| James Morgan | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryn Clark | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Peter Sander | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 4.5% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 25.1% | 22.5% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 23.8% | 39.2% |
| Emily Hann | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 17.4% | 24.1% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.