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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+2.15vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.57+2.91vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.42+2.31vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.57+3.46vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.14-1.25vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.71-1.28vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38-1.55vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.35-2.59vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.39+1.13vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.24+3.67vs Predicted
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11Colgate University0.43-0.91vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.24vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo-1.24+0.70vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.57+0.22vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.47-4.92vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute-0.47-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.3%1st Place
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4.91George Washington University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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7.46Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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3.75Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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4.72Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.45Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.41Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.13Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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13.67University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
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10.09Colgate University0.430.0%1st Place
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11.76SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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13.7University of Buffalo-1.240.0%1st Place
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14.22Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
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10.08Columbia University0.470.0%1st Place
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12.21Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 26.0% | 19.1% | 18.2% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rhodes Garner | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 16.7% | 20.1% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 10.9% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 26.8% | 23.5% |
| Bryn Clark | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Peter Sander | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 4.8% |
| Emily Hann | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 22.9% | 25.3% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 21.2% | 37.8% |
| Nicholas Houchois | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 19.0% | 11.7% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.