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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.14+2.69vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.35+3.44vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.31vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+1.57vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.79-0.43vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.42-0.56vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.57+0.43vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.47+1.95vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.39+1.19vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.24+3.72vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+0.69vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.47+0.21vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-1.57+1.25vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo-1.24-1.39vs Predicted
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16Colgate University0.43-5.79vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.71-12.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.44Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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3.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.2%1st Place
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5.57Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.57George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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5.44U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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7.43Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.95Columbia University0.470.0%1st Place
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10.19Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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13.72University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
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11.69SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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12.21Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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14.25Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
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13.61University of Buffalo-1.240.0%1st Place
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10.21Colgate University0.430.0%1st Place
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4.72Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Uhl | 19.9% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 24.6% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 6.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 12.3% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Houchois | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Victoria Restivo | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 17.2% | 25.8% | 24.1% |
| Peter Sander | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 9.6% | 3.8% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 12.4% | 7.0% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 21.4% | 38.8% |
| Emily Hann | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 22.1% | 24.1% |
| Bryn Clark | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Matt Cappetta | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.