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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+2.16vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.35+3.51vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.14+0.76vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+1.55vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.37vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.71-1.25vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.79-2.37vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.39+2.16vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-1.24+4.58vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+1.77vs Predicted
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11Villanova University1.57-3.61vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.47-1.91vs Predicted
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13Colgate University0.43-2.87vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-0.47-1.89vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-1.57-0.74vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo-1.24-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.3%1st Place
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5.51Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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3.76Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.55Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.37U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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4.75Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.63George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.16Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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13.58University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
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11.77SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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7.39Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.09Columbia University0.470.0%1st Place
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10.13Colgate University0.430.0%1st Place
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12.11Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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14.26Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
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13.78University of Buffalo-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 25.9% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 18.1% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 10.6% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 13.1% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 19.2% | 22.2% | 23.2% |
| Peter Sander | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 3.9% |
| Max Gillette | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Houchois | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Bryn Clark | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 16.9% | 11.5% | 6.5% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 22.9% | 39.9% |
| Emily Hann | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 25.2% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.