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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+2.21vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.71+2.63vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.14+0.78vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.35+1.58vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+0.41vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.42-0.59vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.79-2.41vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.57-0.68vs Predicted
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9Colgate University0.43+1.00vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.47+0.01vs Predicted
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11Queen's University0.39-0.90vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.34vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-1.24+0.59vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-0.92-1.09vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo-1.24-2.38vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-1.57-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.2%1st Place
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4.63Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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3.78Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.58Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.41Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.41U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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4.59George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.32Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.0Colgate University0.430.0%1st Place
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10.01Columbia University0.470.0%1st Place
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10.1Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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11.66SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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13.59University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
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12.91Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
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13.62University of Buffalo-1.240.0%1st Place
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14.19Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 24.2% | 21.3% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 18.2% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 8.7% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 12.9% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryn Clark | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Houchois | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 17.7% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Peter Sander | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 4.2% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 23.9% | 21.6% |
| Peter Wiley | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 13.3% |
| Emily Hann | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 22.5% | 23.6% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 21.9% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.