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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+1.59vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.00+2.11vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.20-0.62vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.31-0.38vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.08+0.50vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.95-0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.83-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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4.11Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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2.38Harvard University3.200.3%1st Place
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3.62Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.5Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.61Tufts University0.950.0%1st Place
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4.19University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 29.2% | 25.9% | 19.5% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 8.8% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 20.0% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 8.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 31.7% | 29.2% | 19.9% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Riggs | 13.9% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 20.3% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 4.1% |
| John Duncan | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 25.4% | 36.4% |
| Erin Jacob | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 22.9% | 41.7% |
| Peter Girard | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 22.6% | 18.5% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.