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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.93+7.57vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.53+4.51vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+4.77vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.68+5.74vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+1.16vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.91+3.00vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-0.24vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.53+2.05vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.50-2.14vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.28-2.64vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.26+0.29vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.48-5.25vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.74-7.10vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.05-1.93vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.42-1.32vs Predicted
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16William and Mary0.67-0.59vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.87-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.57University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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6.51Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.77College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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6.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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9.0Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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6.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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10.05Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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6.86Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.36Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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11.29Stanford University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.75Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.9Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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12.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.050.0%1st Place
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13.68University of South Florida1.420.0%1st Place
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15.41William and Mary0.670.0%1st Place
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9.1Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Adler | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Sara Burke | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Caroline Patten | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Mayumi Roller | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 2.3% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Tally Buckstaff | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 5.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jaimie Chicoine | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 7.0% |
| Casey Bowles-Jenner | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 25.4% | 23.5% |
| Erin Kwon | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 15.5% | 56.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.