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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.16+2.93vs Predicted
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2Indiana University1.19+0.81vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.70+0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.36-0.47vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.49-0.75vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.34+0.51vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.63-1.69vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.08-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Northwestern University0.1614.0%1st Place
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2.81Indiana University1.1926.2%1st Place
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3.41University of Wisconsin0.7018.0%1st Place
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3.53University of Wisconsin0.3617.4%1st Place
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4.25Purdue University-0.4911.3%1st Place
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6.51University of Michigan-1.342.6%1st Place
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5.31Marquette University-0.637.0%1st Place
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6.24Michigan Technological University-1.083.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Bray | 14.0% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| Nithya Balachander | 26.2% | 24.6% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 18.0% | 20.0% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 17.4% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Nok In Chan | 11.3% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 4.0% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 13.1% | 22.6% | 42.2% |
| Eva Paschke | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 19.0% | 21.4% | 14.7% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 24.6% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.