Race 4A

lark-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Nicholas Karnovsky 36.1% 24.4% 18.1% 13.4% 5.6% 2.0% 0.4%
Alp Rodopman 27.1% 28.2% 20.6% 14.5% 5.9% 2.8% 0.9%
John Duncan 4.4% 5.0% 5.3% 9.0% 15.2% 26.5% 34.6%
Erin Jacob 2.2% 3.9% 6.6% 9.3% 12.6% 23.0% 42.4%
Kyle Riggs 11.2% 15.4% 21.0% 19.6% 17.9% 10.8% 4.1%
Solomon Tarlin 9.6% 12.0% 16.1% 17.4% 20.0% 17.8% 7.1%
Peter Girard 9.4% 11.1% 12.3% 16.8% 22.8% 17.1% 10.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.