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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.20+1.41vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.83+2.36vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.04-0.42vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.00+0.12vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.95+0.64vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.08-0.57vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.31-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Harvard University3.200.3%1st Place
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4.36University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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2.58Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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4.12Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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5.64Tufts University0.950.0%1st Place
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5.43Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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3.46Northeastern University2.310.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 34.1% | 25.5% | 19.7% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Peter Girard | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 20.8% | 18.7% | 11.2% |
| Alp Rodopman | 27.1% | 26.7% | 22.8% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 21.2% | 17.1% | 7.5% |
| Erin Jacob | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 24.3% | 41.5% |
| John Duncan | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 26.1% | 34.7% |
| Kyle Riggs | 15.7% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 19.6% | 17.1% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.