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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+1.60vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.83+2.36vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.20-0.62vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.00+0.13vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.08+0.48vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.95-0.40vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.31-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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4.36University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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2.38Harvard University3.200.3%1st Place
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4.13Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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5.48Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.6Tufts University0.950.0%1st Place
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3.45Northeastern University2.310.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 28.8% | 25.6% | 20.5% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Peter Girard | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 18.2% | 21.3% | 17.9% | 11.6% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 31.9% | 27.2% | 22.1% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 19.2% | 19.7% | 18.8% | 7.1% |
| John Duncan | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 25.1% | 36.2% |
| Erin Jacob | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 24.0% | 40.4% |
| Kyle Riggs | 16.1% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 19.9% | 16.2% | 9.6% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.