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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+1.54vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.08+3.41vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.20-0.62vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.95+1.66vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.31-1.34vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.00-1.87vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.83-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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5.41Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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2.38Harvard University3.200.3%1st Place
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5.66Tufts University0.950.0%1st Place
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3.66Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.13Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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4.23University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 29.9% | 25.4% | 20.8% | 13.3% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| John Duncan | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 25.4% | 34.5% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 32.6% | 27.2% | 19.8% | 12.6% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Erin Jacob | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 22.5% | 42.4% |
| Kyle Riggs | 11.3% | 16.3% | 19.9% | 19.0% | 18.5% | 10.8% | 4.2% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 9.1% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 8.0% |
| Peter Girard | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.