← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.04+1.55vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.20+0.36vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.83+1.35vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University0.95+1.65vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.31-1.33vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.00-1.88vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.08-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.55Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
-
2.36Harvard University3.200.3%1st Place
-
4.35University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
-
5.65Tufts University0.950.0%1st Place
-
3.67Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
-
4.12Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
-
5.3Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 30.5% | 25.8% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 33.6% | 27.5% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Peter Girard | 7.5% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 21.6% | 17.7% | 11.7% |
| Erin Jacob | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 23.3% | 42.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 11.6% | 16.1% | 19.0% | 19.3% | 19.3% | 10.2% | 4.5% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 9.8% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 17.8% | 8.2% |
| John Duncan | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 25.4% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.