← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.04+1.51vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.83+2.18vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.20-0.73vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.31-0.54vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.08+0.34vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University0.95-0.54vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.33-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.51Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
-
4.18University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
-
2.27Harvard University3.200.3%1st Place
-
3.46Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
-
5.34Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
-
5.46Tufts University0.950.0%1st Place
-
4.78Boston University1.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 30.3% | 26.7% | 19.8% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Peter Girard | 8.3% | 10.0% | 15.9% | 21.9% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 9.6% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 33.9% | 30.1% | 19.7% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Riggs | 14.6% | 15.8% | 22.3% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 2.9% |
| John Duncan | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 23.8% | 32.0% |
| Erin Jacob | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 22.1% | 37.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 20.4% | 25.2% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.