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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+6.28vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+4.18vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.93+5.77vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+1.93vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+1.54vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.50+0.86vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.91+1.85vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.20-0.41vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.53-2.29vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-3.35vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.05+0.96vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.42+1.77vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.53-2.61vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.26-2.68vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.68-5.31vs Predicted
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16William and Mary0.67-0.59vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.87-7.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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5.93Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.54Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.86Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.85Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.59College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.71Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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6.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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11.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.050.0%1st Place
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13.77University of South Florida1.420.0%1st Place
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10.39Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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11.32Stanford University2.260.0%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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15.41William and Mary0.670.0%1st Place
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9.09Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Patten | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Adler | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jaimie Chicoine | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 7.9% |
| Casey Bowles-Jenner | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 26.9% | 23.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Tally Buckstaff | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 4.3% |
| Sara Burke | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Erin Kwon | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 17.9% | 54.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.