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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.16+2.90vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.36+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.70+0.51vs Predicted
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4Indiana University1.19-1.12vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.49-0.83vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.63-0.59vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-1.08-0.80vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.34-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Northwestern University0.1613.1%1st Place
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3.46University of Wisconsin0.3618.6%1st Place
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3.51University of Wisconsin0.7015.9%1st Place
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2.88Indiana University1.1927.5%1st Place
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4.17Purdue University-0.4912.4%1st Place
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5.41Marquette University-0.636.2%1st Place
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6.2Michigan Technological University-1.083.5%1st Place
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6.48University of Michigan-1.342.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Bray | 13.1% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 18.6% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 15.9% | 18.2% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Nithya Balachander | 27.5% | 21.9% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Nok In Chan | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
| Eva Paschke | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 21.9% | 16.0% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 24.4% | 32.9% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 13.2% | 22.9% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.