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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+5.38vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.19+6.09vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.39+3.51vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.41+2.48vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.97-0.51vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.69-0.38vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.73+1.79vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.80-2.94vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.61vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.36-0.04vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.16-3.50vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.73-6.61vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.38-9.47vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.36-1.17vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.24-4.65vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-0.43-1.68vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.42-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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8.09University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.48Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.49Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.62Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.79Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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6.06University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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9.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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10.96McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.5Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.39Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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4.53Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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13.83Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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11.35University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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15.32Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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15.3University of Connecticut-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Duclos | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Claire Huebner | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Harden | 10.4% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Mete Sayin | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 16.0% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 21.3% | 24.2% | 15.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 2.4% |
| David Tampellini | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 13.9% | 25.0% | 41.6% |
| Benjamin Hawkins | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 13.6% | 28.3% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.