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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.73+5.25vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.16+6.24vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.39+4.50vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.38+0.48vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+4.03vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.19+2.41vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97-1.44vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.41-0.71vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.73+0.99vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.69-3.55vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.68-4.32vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.36+1.80vs Predicted
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13McGill University1.36-1.89vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.24-2.54vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.80-8.86vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-0.43-1.67vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.42-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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8.24Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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4.48Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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5.56Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.29Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.99Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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6.45Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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13.8Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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11.11McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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11.46University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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6.14University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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15.33Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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15.29University of Connecticut-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Petrovic | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 18.4% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Penwell | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Huebner | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 20.7% | 25.3% | 13.7% |
| Mete Sayin | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Harden | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 26.3% | 40.9% |
| Benjamin Hawkins | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 26.8% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.