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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+6.38vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.69+4.37vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.16+5.31vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.80+2.23vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.38-0.64vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.19+2.42vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.73+1.82vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.73-2.71vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.97-4.26vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.68-4.51vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.41-4.43vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.24-1.71vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-4.68vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.36-1.20vs Predicted
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16McGill University1.36-5.03vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.42-2.71vs Predicted
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19Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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6.37Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.31Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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4.36Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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9.82Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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6.29Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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5.74Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.49Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.57Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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11.29University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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13.8Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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10.97McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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15.29University of Connecticut-0.420.0%1st Place
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15.35Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Franco Bilik | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Harden | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 18.5% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 10.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Claire Huebner | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 23.4% | 22.0% | 15.3% |
| Mete Sayin | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Hawkins | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 26.7% | 40.7% |
| David Tampellini | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 28.4% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.