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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Boston University2.97+3.48vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.39+4.43vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.38+0.38vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.16+3.35vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.68+0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.80-0.74vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.19+0.24vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.41-1.71vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.73-3.47vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.24+0.38vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.66vs Predicted
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13Sacred Heart University-0.43+2.31vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.73-4.11vs Predicted
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16McGill University1.36-4.85vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.42-1.81vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.36-4.23vs Predicted
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19Brown University2.69-12.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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4.38Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.35Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.39Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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7.29Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.53Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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11.38University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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15.31Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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9.89Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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11.15McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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15.19University of Connecticut-0.420.0%1st Place
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13.77Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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6.62Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 13.0% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 17.4% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Preston Duclos | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Harden | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Claire Huebner | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| David Tampellini | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 28.1% | 40.5% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Mete Sayin | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Hawkins | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 13.2% | 25.0% | 41.2% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 13.0% | 22.1% | 22.6% | 12.9% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.