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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+3.25vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+3.44vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.41+4.38vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.69+2.50vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.73+1.13vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.39+1.60vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.16+1.21vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.73+1.41vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.80-2.78vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.04vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.68-5.34vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.19-4.93vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.24-2.79vs Predicted
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15McGill University1.36-4.12vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.42-1.39vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.18vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University-2.33-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.44Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.38Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.5Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.13Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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8.21Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.41Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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6.66Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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11.21University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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10.88McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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14.61University of Connecticut-0.420.0%1st Place
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14.82Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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16.64Salve Regina University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 19.4% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 11.1% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Claire Huebner | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 7.3% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 19.4% | 11.8% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Mete Sayin | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hawkins | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 8.5% | 27.5% | 39.0% | 8.6% |
| David Tampellini | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 9.1% | 27.5% | 40.3% | 9.7% |
| Sean Morrissey | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 11.4% | 81.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.