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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+6.34vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.41+4.36vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.73+5.77vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.68+1.66vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.69+0.42vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.16+1.53vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.38-3.63vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.73-2.74vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.57vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.80-4.90vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.97-6.29vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.24-1.68vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.36-2.93vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.19-6.69vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.36-2.30vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-0.43-1.66vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.42-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.36Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.77Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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6.66Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.42Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.53Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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4.37Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.26Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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6.1University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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5.71Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.32University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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11.07McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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13.7Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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15.34Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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15.31University of Connecticut-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Claire Huebner | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Preston Duclos | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 16.7% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 12.9% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
| Mete Sayin | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Penwell | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 21.8% | 23.7% | 13.5% |
| David Tampellini | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 12.7% | 26.8% | 41.4% |
| Benjamin Hawkins | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 27.0% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.