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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.80+4.71vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.69+4.13vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.39+4.12vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.68+1.29vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.41+0.93vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.16+1.09vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.22vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.39+0.25vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.36-0.30vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.38-7.85vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.97-7.55vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.63-1.33vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.73-8.85vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.36-2.54vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.24-6.06vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.48-2.87vs Predicted
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19Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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6.13Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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6.29Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.93Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.09Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
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10.7McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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4.15Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.45Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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12.67Connecticut College0.630.0%1st Place
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6.15Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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13.46Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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10.94University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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15.13University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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15.06Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Harden | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.6% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Claire Huebner | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Connelly | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Mete Sayin | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| James Beatty | 17.9% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 13.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Rosenthall | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 6.7% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 13.6% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 22.6% | 39.8% |
| David Tampellini | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 24.9% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.