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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.16+6.76vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.69+4.11vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.73+3.01vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+1.38vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.68+1.07vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.38-1.69vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.39+0.23vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.41-1.04vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.80-4.99vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.27vs Predicted
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13McGill University1.36-2.35vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.24-3.12vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.39-4.44vs Predicted
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16Sacred Heart University-0.43-0.93vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.63-4.34vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.36-4.56vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut-0.48-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.11Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.01Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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5.38Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.07Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.31Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.23Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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6.96Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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10.65McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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10.88University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
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15.07Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.66Connecticut College0.630.0%1st Place
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13.44Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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15.2University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Christensen | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 16.2% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Claire Huebner | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Mete Sayin | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Garrett Connelly | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 23.7% | 38.1% |
| Phillip Rosenthall | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 6.0% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 12.3% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 26.0% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.