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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.69+5.11vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.39+4.14vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68+2.24vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.97+0.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.38-1.87vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.80-1.04vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.73-1.92vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.41-2.03vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.24+1.05vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.29vs Predicted
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12McGill University1.36-1.45vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.16-5.12vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.63-2.30vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.36-2.55vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.39-6.59vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-0.43-2.92vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut-0.48-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.38Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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4.13Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.96University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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6.08Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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6.97Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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11.05University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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8.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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10.55McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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7.88Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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12.7Connecticut College0.630.0%1st Place
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13.45Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
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15.08Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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15.16University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 18.3% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Huebner | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Mete Sayin | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Phillip Rosenthall | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 15.1% | 6.9% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 18.9% | 19.5% | 12.6% |
| Garrett Connelly | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| David Tampellini | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 24.7% | 37.3% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 24.6% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.